07/17/2009 大盘回顾 （No Title）

Cobra

Summary:

Still expect at least a short-term pullback. Not sure if it's Monday though.

	Trend	Momentum	Comments - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Down		Idea for trading intermediate-term under primary down trend.
Intermediate	Up	Neutral
Short-term	Up	Overbought

 

没啥新内容，基本跟周四一样，还是等pullback，不过不sure是否周一，因为根据After Bell Quick Summary，周一有78%的几率收绿。本来说CPCE < 0.56，周一熊熊还有点希望，但是周五CPCE的最终读数为0.58，这样单从几率上讲，周一似乎对熊熊不利。

 

不过，俺还是看短期会有pullback，现在不宜追高。

 

0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals，红色虚线所示，ChiOsc目前这个位置，过去都发生了比较大的pullback。另外，NYADV和NYUPV的divergence，看着还是顶的样子（比较底气不足的说）。

 

1.1.4 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals，除了ChiOsc and STO too high以外，volume连跌3天，这种量价背离通常意味着pullback。

 

2.4.2 NYSE - Issues Advancing，红色虚线所示，触及最上面的thick horizontal red line以后，发生pullback的概率很大。

 

T2103 - Zweig Breadth Thrust from Telechart，still overbought。

 

Short-term model from www.sentimentrader.com，very overbught。

 

1.1.5 PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQQ 30 min)，Bearish Rising Wedge plus lots of negative divergences。

 

3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily)，Bullish Tri Star，米金可能反弹，这也就是说大盘可能会pullback。

 

Diffusion

沙发

coldcold

板凳？

yaobooyao

占个位子再说

lazbug

地板

逍遥山人

每次老蛇喊熊觉得底气不足的时候，往往市场就真的有pull back。

wolfdoctor

顶

exg

ding

cartier

ROOKIE2

再连涨3天，好多搞技术分析的会去看心理医生，不知那2%账户有没有这个计划。

javamood

floor

lite1067

thanks, Cobra laoda.

from what I read over the weekend (nothing on TA), i am afraid the bull market has finally come...

jackyking

Cobra

每次老蛇喊熊觉得底气不足的时候，往往市场就真的有pull back。
逍遥山人 发表于 2009-7-19 01:23

还能发声就不错了，你没看俺英文blog天天被bash哈，俺这算是勇敢的呢，呵呵。

Cobra

thanks, Cobra laoda.

from what I read over the weekend (nothing on TA), i am afraid the bull market has finally come...
lite1067 发表于 2009-7-19 01:37

Sure，反正俺不trade against俺的中期信号。

jackyking

thanks, Cobra laoda.

from what I read over the weekend (nothing on TA), i am afraid the bull market has finally come...
lite1067 发表于 2009-7-19 01:37

Lite, what did you read?

Lynxx

lite1067

还能发声就不错了，你没看俺英文blog天天被bash哈，俺这算是勇敢的呢，呵呵。
Cobra 发表于 2009-7-19 00:40

Didn't see much bash there? From my reading, most people are quite supportive.

enjoy the rest of your weekend.

dayuangone8

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