07/01/2009 大盘回顾 （Stalled at MA20）

Cobra

Summary:

Expect at least a short-term pullback staring as early as tomorrow.

A Head and Shoulders Top could be in the play.

	Trend	Momentum	Comments - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Down		Idea for trading intermediate-term under primary down trend.
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	Up	Neutral

 

Short-term，SPX涨幅有限，并且很可能已经掉头向下了。

 

1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)，这个图上可以看到很多理由。

1. 上方是盘整了10天之久的strong resistance。

2. 今天正好是end of 13 trading day cycle，因此很可能是个turn date。

3. Bearish Rising Wedge。

4. Lots of negative divergences。

5. 8 unfilled gaps。

6. The rebound hit exactly Fib 61.8。

 

3.1.1 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP 30 min)，Bullish Falling Wedge plus lots of positive divergences，米金应该要反弹了，这对大盘不利。

 

Intraday model from www.sentimentrader.com，overbought。

 

Intermediate-term，a Head and Shoulders Top could be in the play。

 

0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，so far SPY stalled under MA20，2天上涨on decreased volume，而1天的下跌则是on increased volume。

 

7.7.9 Russell 3000 Dominant Price-Volume Relationships，这个很好地反映了缩量上涨的情况，周一和今天都是12xx stocks price up volume down。

 

2.0.0 Volatility Index (Daily)，连着3个reversal bar，candlestick pattern还有点点用的话，VIX应该要反弹了，这对大盘不利。

 

另外不要忘了，VIX今天又是new low，这跟SPX形成negative divergence。

 

javamood

sha fa

javamood

bench

德州牛仔

Thanks!

javamood

and thanks!

javamood

Thanks!
德州牛仔 发表于 2009-7-1 17:15

   要不俺今天就二连冠了

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