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[转贴] Nasdaq Bullish

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发表于 2009-6-20 10:21 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


When Goldman Sachs (GS) puts Microsoft (MSFT) on its Conviction Buy List, not only is it positive for the name, but perhaps it is very positive for big-cap technology, too, perhaps the kind of technology names imbedded in the NDX.  Maybe GS is impressed with BING, which gives MSFT a new product that can and will effectively compete with Google (GOOG).

Should we not extrapolate the impact of the Conviction Buy List to the NDX?  I don’t know, but as long as the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq:  QQQQ) remains above this week’s pullback pivot low at 35.24, I will respect the integrity of the larger upleg by remaining long in our model portfolio.  However, if this week’s pivot low is violated, I will reverse into a short position – regardless of MSFT’s inclusion in the Conviction Buy List.

发表于 2009-6-20 10:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
HOHOHO to north polar
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发表于 2009-6-20 10:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-6-20 10:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Dahutu 于 2009-6-20 23:49 编辑
When Goldman Sachs (GS) puts Microsoft (MSFT) on its Conviction Buy List, not only is it positive for the name, but perhaps it is very positive for big-cap technology, too, perhaps the kind of technol ...
ppteam 发表于 2009-6-20 23:21

很有可能。。。这是6月5日我贴在某个group的一个study
Nasdaq got bullish at that time among big capital,
Nasdaq0605.png
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发表于 2009-6-20 10:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
how is the tracking record of GS 'conviction buy' and 'conviction sell' list? I am afraid it is similar to Cramer's strong buy recommendation - namely a simple pop & dump phenomenon.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-6-20 10:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
4# Dahutu

who knows...
现在大家把LATE DAY RALLY已经叫做GOLDMAN SACHS TYPE RALLY.
所谓的FREE MARKET搞到这个份上已经很。。。
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发表于 2009-6-21 01:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
MSFT was in an very overbought position, and quite expensive relative to S&P level.
If GS didn't make the call, I would think it may close down below 23, at least to start re-testing MA20 after breaking MA200.

With the upgrade, MSFT opened directly to 24, and stayed without much of a fight.
An interesting thing is,  MSFT June option doesn't have a strike price at 24, but just 23, 25.

I don't know what give GS the reason to upgrade, but BING in my opinion, should not make a case.
Web search market has been overwhelmed, ad revenue will also come down during recession, even GOOG knows this and tries to shift into other business.
Vista is a completely disaster, and lately its PC-joint ventures start thinking of Linux, with all other things make MSFT's revenue and earning shrinking big.
MSFT don't make a buy case, at this price level, at this time, at all (not till Windows 7 receives welcome)

But sure it's a good pick, if GS wants to lift the index and change the sentiment.
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发表于 2009-6-21 08:08 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks

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发表于 2009-6-21 10:26 AM | 显示全部楼层
bulli sh it.
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发表于 2009-6-21 04:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
7# z_crochio


agree
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发表于 2009-6-21 04:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 CoolMax 于 2009-6-21 17:43 编辑

Kiss Bye Uptrend?
COMPX 2009-06-19.png
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发表于 2009-6-21 09:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-6-22 07:48 AM | 显示全部楼层
as long as the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq:  QQQQ) remains above this week’s pullback pivot low at 35.24, I will respect the integrity of the larger upleg by remaining long in our model portfolio.  However, if this week’s pivot low is violated, I will reverse into a short position
支持!
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