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今天这个gap很大,所以不sure会不会补。老规矩,10:30后有新高的话,今天熊熊就没戏了。
一点数据统计:
don't spend any time on these things, there's rarely any way to know who or what or why made the trades that goosed the market in the final minutes of trading. It's not like this hasn't happened before - there have been 9 times the S&P 500 surged 1% or more during the final half-hour, and gapped up 1% or more the next morning.
The last one was on March 26th, and the S&P managed to close another +1.6% higher from the open. That was more common than not, as 7 of the 9 days closed higher after that large opening gap. But none of them occurred at multi-month highs, either, like we're seeing today.
There have been 25 times the S&P 500 futures gapped up 1% or more to a new three-month or greater high. Buying the open and holding until the next day's close resulted in only 7 winning trades and an average return of 0.4%, so chasing these gaps into new highs didn't often pay off by much. If it happened on a Monday, the S&P closed lower by Tuesday 4 out of the 5 times. |
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