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[放炮] One question for bulls

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发表于 2009-4-22 04:32 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


If you believe market will touch EMA200 in next couple weeks, and you do plan to sell or even flip to bear side, my question is :" Who is the freaking bonehead will buy your stuff?" Remember early this yr, everyone called to short SPY @960? Did market really reach there? 940 was the top. Also, everyone wanted to long SPY @650-620, did market really reach there.

For bulls, it's not a bad idea to take the chip off the table. You CAN'T get at exactly top. Don't try to make last penny.
发表于 2009-4-22 04:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-22 04:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
I think maybe some mutual funds/pension funds/401k funds will buy since it is not their money and they just buy at every beginning of each month. It will provide excellent choose for hedge fund to unload their position.
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发表于 2009-4-22 05:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-22 06:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
my dear friend, your own 401K money will buy all crap you don't want to buy at the highest price. don't worry.
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发表于 2009-4-22 06:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
为啥要预测顶部?趋势破了的时候卖就行了呗
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发表于 2009-4-22 07:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
ding
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发表于 2009-4-22 07:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
If you believe market will touch EMA200 in next couple weeks, and you do plan to sell or even flip to bear side, my question is :" Who is the freaking bonehead will buy your stuff?" Remember early thi ...
colderdown 发表于 2009-4-22 17:32


俺虽然不看牛,但可以替牛牛回答你的问题:到时候卖给被挤的熊熊呀
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
8# ByStander

I am not sure about that. Big bear already gone after SPY passed 804. Little bear like me, started to short with light position around 860, even it goes to 940, I won't cut loss, will only add more shorts. Without any fundamental support, fake market can not go too far.
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发表于 2009-4-22 07:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# colderdown

LZ还是要小心,听一下老姜(gdtrader)的观点。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 07:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 colderdown 于 2009-4-22 20:41 编辑

10# 何鸿燊


He did not even get inflation or deflation right. In that point, he is dead wrong. Even it is inflation, which does not mean equity will go up. There is staginlfation, or inflation recession.

Let's talk about inflation after FED print another $3T HT is a great place to discuss TA, but in terms of FA, no many people have a little bit clue what is happening now.
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发表于 2009-4-22 07:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
10# 何鸿燊


He did not even get inflation or deflation right. In that point, he is dead wrong. Even it is inflation, which does not mean equity will go up. There is staginlfation, or inflation r ...
colderdown 发表于 2009-4-22 20:39



LOL, I remember you replied in my post too saying " he is dead wrong".

Thought I would not buy at this level(because I already sold my long), but I have all my cash waiting for a pullback. I guess that is why market does not drop easily because too many people waiting for pullback after profit from this rally.

Also I said many people who missed this rally are just waiting for a pullback to get on boat.

most people's fortune is shrinking in this recession, tell where is the inflation coming from?
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发表于 2009-4-22 08:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
11# colderdown

你是不是要等大本哪天又说再印3T的Fiat money,给自己找别的理由继续捂着手里的short?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 10:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 colderdown 于 2009-4-22 23:46 编辑

13# 何鸿燊

For you two guys above, I suggest you read some currency basic 101 first, then, you can google Van Hoisington and Dr. Lacy Hunt, and read their recent paper. I don't want to argue with you and the fact will tell. In March, when a guy call bottom was far away, I said "Nuts". Now, if you want to long with heavy position, well, NUTS!!!

I came here to learn TA, a lot of people here are turely great, I can call them teachers. But regarding FA, hahaha, 99% people here just have no clue, to be honest. BTW, I increased my shorts to 15%. The higher this market goes, the more I will short. At least for now. Bulls last hope is stress test result.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 11:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
12# dara


sorry, I misread your post. For those cry about inflation, I don't have much to say now. Bull market will return someday.
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