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[技术分析] To Cobra

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发表于 2009-4-21 03:35 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


2.0.0可能是个下行通道,上沿就是原来画的那条(现在没了),下沿和上沿平行。
发表于 2009-4-21 03:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
2.0.0可能是个下行通道,上沿就是原来画的那条(现在没了),下沿和上沿平行。
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-21 16:35


收到,晚上改,俺正忙呢。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 03:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
BTW, 7.1.2 needs to add $TRIN for comparison.

The reasons are described in  http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=36373
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发表于 2009-4-21 03:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
BTW, 7.1.2 needs to add $TRIN for comparison.

The reasons are described in  http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=36373
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-21 16:43


收到。TRIN怎么用,俺还没发现规律呢。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 03:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 bayliner1979 于 2009-4-21 16:54 编辑

stockhq的观察是对的。
我用IB的5-min TICK, TRIN chart.
比如今天3:00pm左右850的高点,TICK进入了高于1000的extreme area,这时TRIN<1.0是个confirmation (of bull),所以盘尾又拉起来了。如果当时TRIN>1.0的话,就不是confirmation,多半3:30pm就趴窝了(i.e., throw back to the support line underneath)。
Bearish state正相反,TICK enters <-1000 extreme area, at this moment TRIN > 1.0 is a confirmation (of bear). Otherwise, likely throw up to the resistance line above.

前面一阵也基本如此。

收到。TRIN怎么用,俺还没发现规律呢。
Cobra 发表于 2009-4-21 16:45
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 04:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
BTW, 1.0.6 also needs to add $TRIN.
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发表于 2009-4-21 04:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-21 04:09 PM | 显示全部楼层

白蛇娘子 发表于 2009-4-21 17:07


哟,娘子来啦,小青呢?
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发表于 2009-4-21 04:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
stockhq的观察是对的。
我用IB的5-min TICK, TRIN chart.
比如今天3:00pm左右850的高点,TICK进入了高于1000的extreme area,这时TRIN1.0的话,就不是confirmation,多半3:30pm就趴窝了(i.e., throw back to the s ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-21 16:51


OK,俺试试看,赔了钱,找你算账。赚了钱,俺就不吱声了。
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发表于 2009-4-21 05:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
老大, John Carter 的书中有对 TICK, TIKI, TRIN 和 TRINQ 用法的详细介绍和他自己的 rule.
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发表于 2009-4-21 06:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
John Cater's Tick rule:
1. If I am long and the markets hit +1000 ticks, I will use that as a signal to exit the remainder of my position. If I am short and the markets hit -1000 ticks, I will use that as a signal to exit the remainder of my position.
2. I setup audio alerts at all the key tick levels (600, 800, 1000 levels)
3. When the ticks spend 90% of their time above zero with repeated extreme high tick readings, I ignore all day trading short setups and focus on longs, and vice visa.

TRIN rule:
1. If the trin is trending higher and making higher highs on the day, I will ignore all long setups.
If the trin is trending lower and making lower lows on the day, I will ignore all short setups.
2. If the trin closes above 2.0. the market has an 80% chance of rallying the next day. If the trin closes below 0.60. the market has an 80% chance of selling off the next day.
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发表于 2009-4-21 06:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
John Cater's Tick rule:
1. If I am long and the markets hit +1000 ticks, I will use that as a signal to exit the remainder of my position. If I am short and the markets hit -1000 ticks, I will use th ...
lwjnbtx 发表于 2009-4-21 19:08


Thanks, I'll sure remember that.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 06:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
stockhq's rule is not about John Carter's rule, where TICK and TRIN are not correlated.  
stockhq's rule correlates TICK and TRIN.  Confirmation is important in TA.  Just like 1.0.9, a trend is clear if all indicators confirm each other.  $BP... indicators are for midterm trends.  $T... indicators are for daytrade and swing trends.
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发表于 2009-4-21 06:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
Cobra and BayLiner are really two best TA Guru!!!



stockhq's rule is not about John Carter's rule, where TICK and TRIN are not correlated.  
stockhq's rule correlates TICK and TRIN.  Confirmation is important in TA.  Just like 1.0.9, a trend is clear ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-21 19:23
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发表于 2009-4-21 06:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
John Cater's Tick rule:
1. If I am long and the markets hit +1000 ticks, I will use that as a signal to exit the remainder of my position. If I am short and the markets hit -1000 ticks, I will use th ...
lwjnbtx 发表于 2009-4-21 18:08


These rules might not applicable in today's crazy market. It's always overbought goes further overbought and oversold jumps into more oversold. Therefore, the trend of $TRIN and $TICK is more important than their absolute values.
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发表于 2009-4-21 10:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
Ding!
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发表于 2009-4-21 10:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
zan!
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发表于 2009-4-22 01:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
stockhq的观察是对的。
我用IB的5-min TICK, TRIN chart.
比如今天3:00pm左右850的高点,TICK进入了高于1000的extreme area,这时TRIN1.0的话,就不是confirmation,多半3:30pm就趴窝了(i.e., throw back to the s ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-21 16:51


bay,
today tick > 1000 and trin is above 1. bearish setup right?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 01:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
1.0.6上今天TICK>1000的时候, TRIN都<1.
This obvious turning scenario doesn't appear everyday.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 09:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 bayliner1979 于 2009-4-23 10:37 编辑

Today's fresh example:  前面837低点的时候TICK<-1000,TRIN却也<1,没有confirm,因此逆转向上去test上面的阻力线。
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