SPX 短中期目标猜想

wavetrend

SPX 短中期目标猜想(仅供牛牛参考防范鱼尾巴风险，熊熊千万不可用来猜顶)：


算法理论                    最小目标                可能性%


小牛旗                        2102                        95
箱体测量                     2136~2141              80
大牛旗/Elliott               2254                       65
Fibonacci/Elliott           2302                        59
Elliott                          2409~2431              49


Note: 仅供参考,上面写了是放炮。


补充内容 (2015-2-15 04:07 PM):
第五个目标有修正：

Elliott                          2383              50

hunting2015

葡萄柚

小呵呵

小呵呵

我认为最可能的临界值：

Fibonacci/Elliott           2302                        

仅供牛牛们参考

恒一

小呵呵

wavetrend

小呵呵 发表于 2015-2-15 01:59 PM

If we compare the US Dollar Index (USDX), an index that tracks the value of the U.S. dollar against six other major currencies, and the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Nasdaq and S&P 500 over a 20-year period, the correlation coefficient calculated for the USDX versus the DJIA, Nasdaq and S&P 500, is 0.35, 0.39 and 0.38, respectively. Note that all of the coefficients are positive, which means that as the value of the U.S. dollar increases, so do the stock indexes, but only by a certain amount. Notice also that each coefficient is below 0.4, which means that only about 35% to 40% of the stock indexes' movements are associated with the movement of the U.S. dollar.

A country's currency can become more valuable in relation to the rest of the world in two main ways: when the amount of currency units available in the world market place is reduced (for example, when the Fed increases interest rates and causes a reduction in spending), or by an increase in the demand for that particular currency. The fact that an increase in the U.S. dollar affects the value of American stocks seems natural, as U.S. dollars are needed to purchase stocks.

The value of American stocks, especially those that are included in market indexes, tend to increase along with the demand for U.S. dollars - in other words, they are positively correlated. One possible explanation for this relationship is foreign investment. As more and more investors put their money in U.S. equities, they are required to first buy U.S. dollars, which can be used to purchase American stocks, causing the indexes to increase in value.

Ref:
http://www.investopedia.com/ask/ ... llarcorrelation.asp

zhao

小呵呵

wavetrend 发表于 2015-2-15 01:04 PM
If we compare the US Dollar Index (USDX), an index that tracks the value of the U.S. dollar agains ...

bucks

一头栽下的可能性是  ？？

wavetrend

bucks 发表于 2015-2-15 09:26 PM
一头栽下的可能性是  ？？

一头栽下的可能性也是有的，那就是ending diagonal 五浪失败了。但至少要到达第一目标2102吧。老大给点面子。

greentree

谢谢

dsp

RespectRisk

xiaohehua

niwajiang803

转账了，请查收。

wavetrend

经过—周对前高2093.55疯狂的成功的反复确认支撑有效，和对第一目标2102的反复冲击，今天终于借助希腊消息的明朗化向上突破摆脱这个窄小的空间。估计在第二目标或之前会有五-3-(2)小回调。