04/20/2011 大盘回顾（All About VIX and BB）

Cobra · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:28 PM

	TREND	MOMENTUM	COMMENT
Long-term	2 of 2 are BUY
Intermediate	4 of 5 are SELL	5 of 5 are NEUTRAL	Cobra Impulse in SELL mode; Non-Stop in SELL mode.
Short-term		5 of 6 are NEUTRAL
GANN DAY	MOON:SOLAR	CYCLE	CONCLUSION
04/11-4/20	04/17 : 04/20	04/04-04/13	Next pivot date: 04/11, 04/20

BULLISH	09/27 Market Recap: 9 POMO within 20 trading days means 14%+ up in 3 months. 02/23 Market Recap: Pullback could last 4 weeks, then 02/18 highs will be revisited. 03/11 Market Recap: Bullish in 3 to 6 months. 04/01 Market Recap: Bullish April.
BEARISH	4.0.1 SPX Long-term Trading Signals: Weekly EMA(13) is way too high above weekly EMA(34). 03/18 Market Recap: 03/16 lows will be revisited.
My Thoughts	*More on the upside but beware of short-term risks as VIX is now way below its BB bottom.

SPY SYSTEM	ENTRY DATE	STOP LOSS	INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE.
Non-Stop	04/15 S	N/A	Short is for aggressive traders only.
CI Buy & Hold	04/18 S	N/A
CI Swing	04/18 S	2*ATR(10)
Short-term	*UP	N/A	I hold long position overnight.

SHORT-TERM: SHOULD BE MORE ON THE UPSIDE, BEWARE OF VIX BB SELL SETUP THOUGH

三点说明：

应该还有涨。
小心VIX。
我会buy the very first dip。

今天的涨幅很大，一般这样的涨幅不会瞬间就消失，因此下面应该还有的涨。我希望这次终于能够实现之前两个悬而未决的预言了：

02/23 Market Recap，平均69 calendar day内有新高。
1.2.0 INDU Leads Market。

目前的风险还是VIX，下面的图都是有关于VIX和它的BB的故事，看着准确率都不错（顺便说，好多同学可能不知道点击看大图，以为图就那么小哈）。特别是如果明天又大涨特涨的话，注意下周一的风险，因为根据Stock Trader’s Almanac, day after Easter, worst post-holiday, S&P down 16 of 20 from 1984 to 2003, but improving recently, up 6 of last 7, including 1.5% gain in 2008.

另一个风险，是IBM今天收红了，下面的screenshot来自Bespoke。虽然日期老了点，但是我的映像是最近几次IBM的ER也都准确地反映了SPX此后的涨跌。当然这个不够成短期的风险，我的建议是注意油价。

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BULLISH APRIL, SPX TARGET 1352 TO 1381, BEWARE 04/11 TO 04/14 PIVOT DATE

See 04/01 Market Recap for more details.

SEASONALITY: MIXED

See 04/15 Market Recap for more details.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

	TREND	COMMENT
QQQ & Weekly	UP
IWM & Weekly	UP
SSEC & Weekly	UP
EEM & Weekly	UP
XIU & Weekly	DOWN
TLT & Weekly	UP
FXE & Weekly	UP
GLD & Weekly	UP
GDX & Weekly	04/18 L
USO & Weekly	UP
XLE & Weekly	UP
XLF & Weekly	DOWN
IYR & Weekly	UP
XLB & Weekly	UP
DBA & Weekly	DOWN

Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

fara · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:31 PM

fara · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:32 PM

fara · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:32 PM

fara · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:33 PM

fara · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:34 PM

哈哈哈。。。。。。

可让我得着了！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！

fara · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:35 PM

别怪我油！

哈。。。。。。。。。。。。

IMeMyself · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:35 PM

First page, thanks

farshine · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:35 PM

本帖最后由 farshine 于 2011-4-20 20:36 编辑

fara · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:36 PM

唉，累死我了！

好好看看吧！

CoolMax · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:37 PM

fara · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:37 PM

IMeMyself 发表于 2011-4-20 20:35
First page, thanks

对不起，板凳应该是你的！

大牛Steve · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:44 PM

happyface · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:45 PM

maldini · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:46 PM

cartier · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:48 PM

maldini · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:48 PM

Cobra 发表于 2011-4-20 20:28
 

TREND

我一直关注iwm
我这次追高也是进的tna
iwm四月初的新高应该要碰一下吧，我想。

zeru001 · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:53 PM

Thanks!

navybean · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:54 PM

Thanks

sooners · 发表于 2011-4-20 07:55 PM

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[技术分析] 04/20/2011 大盘回顾（All About VIX and BB）

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[技术分析] 04/20/2011 大盘回顾 （All About VIX and BB）

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[技术分析] 04/20/2011 大盘回顾（All About VIX and BB）