05/25/2010 白天灌水

Diver

队长，问题是今天是MDD，会收LOD，今天大概没希望补空或反弹了。

这一波下来，牛牛节节败退，反弹一次比一次弱。很多次都摆出一副要HUGE GAP UP OPEN的样子，结果却是GAP DOWN OPEN。现在还在下降通道了，每一次的反转都被更猛烈的SELL OFF，熊熊攻下了一城又一城，不断的LL，LH。现在的反弹或反转信号大概暂时不WORK了。

这一年多来，虽然指数涨了不少，可是只有权重股在不断地创新高，而其它股票则没有跟随，反而不断创新低。我现在真怀疑了，这不是牛市的特征吧？我们一直以来都处在熊市大反弹中？

没人抄底？真的没人抄底， 大家都不抄， 俺抄。
ypm968 发表于 2010-5-25 10:38

yam

MM 够狠
netbanker 发表于 2010-5-25 10:49

Diver

我的观察名单上，只有UUP, TLT, GLD和GS是绿的，其它全部红彤彤的。真不知道GS是唱的哪出戏呢？

draguide

铜和油

lwjnbtx

(ZT)
Friday, May 21, 2010
Another Bad "Expert" Advice Story
In August 1998, I appeared on the Cavuto Business Show on The Fox News Network along with another guest. I was bearish on the market and pointed out to Neal Cavuto the similarities to October 19, 1987, (the day the Dow Jones Industrials dropped 508 points, otherwise known as “Black Monday”).

When Neal asked the other guest, “What are you buying here?” he answered, “We’re buying the stocks that have dropped the most.” This was on Friday, August 28, 1998, and coincidentally, the following Monday, August 31, 1998, the Dow dropped 512 points, suffering one of the worst one-day price declines in stock market history.

I suppose for my fellow guest, the 512 point market crash resulted in even more opportunities to buy stocks that went down the most?

After a sharp decline, some stocks can have short-term bounces or rallies; however, in my experience few stocks bottom out when you expect them to do so. And, even if they do bottom, often they simply move sideways for an extended period, wasting valuable time. There are periods in the market when the reward to aggravation ratio is just not worth your valuable time and capital.

If you’re looking to find the next big market winners—the market leaders—then you want to keep your eyes peeled for the stocks that hold up the best (not the worst) during a market decline, and then buy them as they emerge from the market’s wreckage and move into new high ground. This will occur AFTER the stock's price undergoes a consolidation period of several weeks or more.

As in any profession, there are only a small number of truly outstanding practitioners, whether a doctor, lawyer, baseball player, poker player or investment pro. Don’t think that just because someone is an “expert” or they’re on TV it means they’re outstanding or even know what they’re doing very well.

Pros make huge, costly mistakes and often give terrible advice. More importantly, just because some “pro” does something stupid (like buy the stocks that went down the most right into a decline), it doesn’t mean you have to. Be smart. Develop a solid, sensible plan and adhere to it. By doing so, you can outperform most of these so-called “experts.”
-
Mark Minervini

google

今天的意义在于，2月底破了，开始有了Lower Low了

jason09

thanks

sfbayarea

还有钱抄底，说明其实大部分人逃顶做得都不错。

据说２０００年的时候也是这样的，大部分人都 ...
padme 发表于 2010-5-25 10:22

    不要说2000年的时候了， 好吗？ 伤心啊！

newegg

K, TRIN 0.85, 机关枪猛扫， 重炮打得少

stocklover

队长的枪一响，俺就进去了

Cobra

没啥好说的，大红棒棒砸不下去，就要看反弹到哪里了。

Alchemist

队长的枪一响，俺就进去了
stocklover 发表于 2010-5-25 11:09

   

Alchemist

不要说2000年的时候了， 好吗？ 伤心啊！
sfbayarea 发表于 2010-5-25 11:07

   

draguide

星星，今天usd/jpy没有在大跌的时候狂跌，难道套息交易已经被挤干净了？

xiaochong

队长的枪一响，俺就进去了
stocklover 发表于 2010-5-25 11:09

   

Cobra

人人都觉得这是个发大财的机会，所以奋勇前进啊。

sfbayarea

没人抄底？真的没人抄底， 大家都不抄， 俺抄。
ypm968 发表于 2010-5-25 10:38

    我抄了。 amzn and isrg right on the ma200 support line, and trend line support line. 可以一试。

tst2007

人人都觉得这是个发大财的机会，所以奋勇前进啊。
Cobra 发表于 2010-5-25 11:12

    似乎比昨天比例低点.

lqiantobe

没啥好说的，大红棒棒砸不下去，就要看反弹到哪里了。
Cobra 发表于 2010-5-25 11:10

不会有第二腿了？

hbw

回复 138# padme


    还是那个被资本老大全面接纳的问题。中美合作才能让中国有生意做，才能让美国人放手做全球大事。这次朝鲜被放弃了。