Perfect Wave - 2012-2/2

bokchoy888

snowrider 发表于 2012-11-11 02:38 AM
Wave Count

才发现，好图， 好地方！！！

snowrider

bokchoy888 发表于 2012-11-13 11:59 PM
才发现，好图， 好地方！！！

歡迎白菜兄來偶這裡參觀!  (偶還是比較喜歡你那裏的滿園春色)  

snowrider

有同學問到說看到市場轉折點不是在 fib ratio 上面 ... 偶回答他:  fib ratio 可以用來 verify 是否 wave count 是正確與否!  所以如果看到的轉折點不是在 fib ratio 上面 ... 第一個要懷疑的就是數波沒有數對!

cat2011

Is GLD taking the gray path?

snowrider

cat2011 发表于 2012-11-14 02:26 PM
Is GLD taking the gray path?

過去這幾天都在盤整沒有方向性 ... 如果偶是市場做手 - 偶會讓它走紫線殺光多頭必較漂亮

snowrider

Wave Count

austinjoe

snowrider 发表于 2012-11-18 10:47 AM
Wave Count

Thanks a lot for updating your wave count chart. Appreciated!

cat2011

Hkwave

I'm trading this wave count now. 1st chart is daily, 2nd chart is hourly.

Hkwave

This are the volume price levels I'm looking at.

snowrider

Hkwave 发表于 2012-11-19 09:35 AM
I'm trading this wave count now. 1st chart is daily, 2nd chart is hourly.

I'll take a look when I am less busy ... the market is crazy at this moment.

vanbj

snowrider

Hkwave 发表于 2012-11-19 09:53 AM
This are the volume price levels I'm looking at.

Nice!  It's very useful to track the change of volume at each price level.

snowrider

Hkwave 发表于 2012-11-19 09:35 AM
I'm trading this wave count now. 1st chart is daily, 2nd chart is hourly.

Hkwave - Your wave count is very good!  I would count the same way as you do.  Given that wave B.a took 21 weeks in abc format, we are at the pivot point for the same timespan of the second abc.  In that case, the count could be revised as the following:

B.a  ->  B.abc
B.b  ->  B._x
B.c  ->  B.abc

The whole wave-B becomes a double-3 with the same travel time for the first and the second 3 segments.

If the whole wave-B is in 3-3-5 format, there will be one more up to form the 5.  In that case, the travel time will exceed the first 3 segments, we will watch another pivot - the target to fulfill same price range.

Hkwave

snowrider 发表于 2012-11-19 08:08 PM
Hkwave - Your wave count is very good!  I would count the same way as you do.  Given that wave B.a ...

Thanks Snowrider for your time. It does look like there is one more leg up to around 23000 before the big crash.

Hkwave

snowrider 发表于 2012-11-19 12:34 PM
Nice!  It's very useful to track the change of volume at each price level.

Yeah, I like to use the high volume levels as support and resistance, for example today 21450~21470 level have been a nice resistance to short.

Hkwave

The big boys are building Dec positions early......... something brewing?

snowrider

Hkwave 发表于 2012-11-24 09:23 PM
The big boys are building Dec positions early......... something brewing?

I don't know ... Maybe it's just a rollover from Nov to Dec contract.

snowrider

Hkwave 发表于 2012-11-24 09:23 PM
The big boys are building Dec positions early......... something brewing?

The interesting thing is that the increase of Dec OI is much larger than that of the decrease of Nov OI.  They are betting Dec to have a big market move?

Hkwave

Normally they rollover during the last 3 days........... but this month they are building the position as early as 22nd...... You can see on 22nd, the Nov contracts also increased as well.

Anyway, just an observation. Stop loss always in place.