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发表于 2010-6-25 08:22 AM
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is the data very good?
abaqus 发表于 2010-6-25 10:12 
这个CONSUMER SENTIMENT REPORT, 与CONSUMER CONFIDENCE REPORT 不同. 前者 doesn't focus on the assessment of the job market, 后者 does. 所以今天的数据显得好看.
Consensus Consensus Range Actual
Sentiment Index - Level 75.5 75.0 to 75.5 76.0
Highlights
Consumer sentiment has been improving consistently for the last five two-week periods, offering indirect evidence of improvement in the labor market. Reuters/University of Michigan's index rose to 76.0 for the final June reading, up from 75.5 at mid-June, 73.6 in final May, 73.3 in mid-May, and 72.2 in final April. Sentiment hit a low in mid-April of 69.5. Consumer spirits are tied most directly with employment conditions and the gains suggest that rising initial jobless claims may, as is widely discussed, be the result of special factors and not due to actual deterioration in the labor market -- this is a very big point for the economic outlook.
One negative in today's report is a mild step back in the expectations component. Uncertain confidence in the future, and by extension uncertainty in future income, will tend to limit discretionary spending. The report notes that 55 percent of households expect no income increase in the year ahead. The index's strength in June relied on a sizable gain in the current-conditions component, one that likely reflects to a degree comparative stability in the stock market.
Inflation expectations are another positive in the report, showing declines from May that reflect softening prices at the gas pump. A lack of inflation is especially important given the dim outlook for income growth. Stocks are getting a lift in reaction to this report. On Tuesday, the Conference Board will release its consumer confident report for June. |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2010-6-25 08:29 AM
