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楼主: maserati

[放炮] 2008的最后一炮

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-15 02:36 PM | 显示全部楼层


原帖由 maserati 于 2009-1-15 10:47 发表 It's OK to get some long positions at this point. Just don't bet everything as markets haven't given out any clear signal yet plus OE is tomorrow.

SPX did bounce off @820 sharply. Only have small long positions at this point. The fact tomorrow is OE makes it harder to tell if this bounce is for real or simply to kill those fat calls.

 

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发表于 2009-1-15 03:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
Laoda, really admire your work. So far, market perfectly follow your plan! please let us know when you aggressively adding long. So far, only have a little long position, scared of ta kong a big wave. Thanks a lot!
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发表于 2009-1-15 09:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
酒香不怕巷子深,谢谢分享。
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发表于 2009-1-15 09:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 maserati 于 2009-1-15 02:36 PM 发表 SPX did bounce off @820 sharply. Only have small long positions at this point. The fact tomorrow is OE makes it harder to tell if this bounce is for real or simply to kill those fat calls.  


可能再回来踩踩,看这个底是否结实。
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发表于 2009-1-16 12:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
xie lao da
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发表于 2009-1-16 12:09 AM | 显示全部楼层

thx

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发表于 2009-1-16 12:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-1-16 07:41 AM | 显示全部楼层
Very good swing trade project and execution. Congrats!
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-16 09:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
Yesterday we had a hammer candlestick, which nornally indicates a short term bottom. But are we heading to 1050 from here? At this point it's really hard to say. Another possible scenarios is that this wave B down of wave 4 is not over yet. It has sub waves a (down, from 940 to 820), b (up, from 820 to 890?) and c (down) and currently we are in sub wave b up. If that's the case, SPX will go up to 880-900 area and then drop again to finish wave B down of wave 4.
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发表于 2009-1-16 11:26 AM | 显示全部楼层

Lao Da

Did u long anything?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-16 11:40 AM | 显示全部楼层

回复 110# QSCNC 的帖子

Have a small position (1/4) of SSO bought yesterday.
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发表于 2009-1-16 11:41 AM | 显示全部楼层
老大都2009年了,换个新贴吧,偶们看也方便。
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发表于 2009-1-16 12:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
I think LZ should keep it at least after 1/20, though I agree the title can be changed to a more eye catching one.
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发表于 2009-1-20 11:23 AM | 显示全部楼层
Looks like this year's Superbowl will be super boring and I believe that Cardinals will have no chance this time as there is no way that they are going to repeat those big offensive big plays against League's #1 defense. And they definitely will double team Larry Fitzgerald.  I am not sure whether Steelers will cruise through Cardinals by 10+ points or they will keep the game close to screw up the most majority who put the bets on Steelers -6.5.

As for the market, looks like many people are predicting that the market will break the 11/21 low (some predicting even going to 600 this time)  before going up again.


Any comments?








原帖由 diaqqqq 于 2009-1-13 16:14 发表 It would be a great match up if Eagles Vs Steelers in Superbowl. However I would like to give some Chance to Cardinals, as they have been pretty good at home for the last 2 seasons. What if McNabb is ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-20 03:04 PM | 显示全部楼层

回复 114# diaqqqq 的帖子

My small long positions got stopped out today at break even. Looks like it's going to be a MDD. Just like what Cobra laoda said, MDD comes by a pair. I wil watch SPX 800 closely.

 

Talking about Eagles' loss to Cardinals, Jim Johnson (Eagles' defense coordinator) did a terrible job. Cardinals was unble to get anything going in the 3rd quarter because Eagels blitz the sh*t of Kurt Warner. This is something they were supposed to do for the other 3 quarters but they played like a bunch of pussies. I hope Steelers learn the lesson: put pressure on KW to stop their passing offense.

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发表于 2009-1-21 04:07 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 maserati 于 2008-12-31 11:56 发表 SPX会有一个MINI NEW YEAR RALLY,低量涨到一月五/六号,也就是大MM度假回来的时候,很有可能破DEC高点919,上冲940~950。然后掉头南下,在OBAMA INAUGUTATION (1/20/2009)左右回到低点,最低不会刺穿820。然后会 ...

 

牛阿!!!   

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-26 09:23 AM | 显示全部楼层
I was very busy last Friday and this whole week is not getting any better. That means no more watering at HT. So just want to give an update in case anyone is still interested. My view stays the same except the target of 1050, which could be too high. But nevertheless, markets seem setting up for a rally that could last for a month or so.
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发表于 2009-1-26 09:51 AM | 显示全部楼层
I was very busy last Friday and this whole week is not getting any better. That means no more watering at HT. So just want to give an update in case anyone is still interested. My view stays the same  ...
maserati 发表于 2009-1-26 07:23


Wonderful. Happy new year!
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发表于 2009-1-27 07:17 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-1-28 03:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
NND, finally got a chance to take a break at work. The board of the company is pushing for big cost cutting (a big part of it is lay off) and I have to go to five or six meetings each day with all the directors and managers to go through expenses line by line. I am telling you: there is no industry that will be immune from this recession.

Markets are up four days in a row. So it's likely they will pull back some (fill today's gap?)in order to advance further as I think this wave 4 has more upside room to go. Hope we can get a MAD today.
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