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发表于 2011-7-15 04:43 PM
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wyemlyy 发表于 2011-7-15 17:26
5/31号也是这样子地,照道理ER不错,下周又有BIG ER,又是OE后周,应该震荡的,不过我认定了趋势,大不了 ...
On bigger picture, I see head-and-shoulder pattern in the forming. SPX 1340-1360 area heavy resistence. If there is no QE3, I guess it cannot pass above it. ER's are not important. Good ER's cannot help SPX going above that area. The estimates for this ER season has been lowered. So should easy to beat expectation. Macro-economy is worsen. But I expect the market will attempt to try one more time to that resistence area before heading down. So both bulls and bears have chances.
Comparing weekly candles on bigger pictures, I guess next two week may be very volatile, up and down big. The weekly charts of SPY and DIA do look like topping process.
But if QE3 comes out, that will be a different story! We will have another massive round of rallying. |
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