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Forex/Futures ST for Week 5/13-5/17

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发表于 2013-5-14 12:14 PM | 显示全部楼层


greenback 发表于 2013-5-14 12:05 PM
Another good macro point for the US economy is that China is no longer interested in high growth t ...

谢谢绿老大释疑,FA的东西我一点儿都不明白。这一段时间我做的稀里糊涂,因为DX在涨(我觉得可能到86),所以不敢做多ES, 彻底踏空了。
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 02:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
It feels good if you can transfer back $$$ every week just by holding the positions ...


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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 04:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
As usual, let's have our daily recap. You never know when the trend ends. So it's important to keep an open eye by review daily.

First on equity indices. Nothing worth mentioning ... I guess the great rotation from bond to equity has started. See next on bond.
US Small Cap 2000(Daily)20130514141115.png
Japan 225(Daily)20130514141029.png
NQ 100(Daily)20130514141004.png
US SPX 500 Futures(Daily)20130514140937.png
DAX(Daily)20130514141329.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 04:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bonds are continuing their slide.
Pay special attention to JGB, which has great implication to the NKD and 6J trading in the intermediate term.
Japan Govt. Bond(Daily)20130514141641.png
Euro Bund(Daily)20130514141607.png
US 10 YR T-Note(Daily)20130514141537.png
US 30 YR T-Bond(Daily)20130514141507.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 04:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
Energies are similar to yesterday, CRUDE was not able to hold the S/R, but ma20 is next.
NG is trying to reverse here.
Natural Gas(Daily)20130514141820.png
Crude Oil(Daily)20130514141801.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 04:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
Metals are the same as yesterday, while COPPER is giving up, apparently due to China.
Copper(Daily)20130514142103.png
Gold(Daily)20130514142024.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 04:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
Anyone shorting 6A? Looks like it's following 6J going down ...

EUOR/GBP stay the same from yesterday.
AUDUSD(Daily)20130514142511.png
GBPUSD(Daily)20130514142430.png
USDJPY(Daily)20130514142340.png
EURUSD(Daily)20130514142258.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 04:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
One precaution on trading 6A. It is strongly dependent on Chinese market and data. That's one reason that I won't use trend following for it, but using ST with daily updated trailing stop loss.

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 04:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
See you tonight on commodities ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 04:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
We are still holding NKD/6J/NQ. Our trading account has reached 75% profit YTD by following the principle of trend following on the strongest trending assets.

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 07:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
Here is the update of the portfolio:

屏幕快照 2013-05-14 5.32.43 PM.png
屏幕快照 2013-05-14 5.32.06 PM.png
屏幕快照 2013-05-14 5.31.39 PM.png

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Zan!  发表于 2013-5-14 09:36 PM

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-14 08:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
Here is a recap of soft commodities ... worth noting is sugar, which finally is tanking ...
US Wheat(Daily)20130514182414.png
US Sugar No11(Daily)20130514182400.png
US Soybeans(Daily)20130514182343.png
US Cotton No.2(Daily)20130514182322.png
US Corn(Daily)20130514182302.png
US Coffee C(Daily)20130514182235.png
US Cocoa(Daily)20130514182138.png
Orange Juice(Daily)20130514182118.png

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发表于 2013-5-14 09:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-5-14 04:31 PM
One precaution on trading 6A. It is strongly dependent on Chinese market and data. That's one reason ...

学习了。谢谢。

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发表于 2013-5-15 08:54 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-15 10:34 AM | 显示全部楼层
This is a day when bad news is good news for stocks. The following chart is telling you the truth and why EURO is going against SPX because more free money on the way!

This time from Europe ... after from Japan.



God less the bulls! i.e. DONT FIGHT THE CENTRAL BANKERS!
SPX 500(5 Hours)20130515083031.png
EURUSD(5 Hours)20130515083022.png

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发表于 2013-5-15 10:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-5-13 02:25 PM
Almost real time ... but only for a few years, maybe five.

谢谢,是免费的资源?
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-15 11:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
北京哥哥 发表于 2013-5-15 11:45 AM
谢谢,是免费的资源?

Yeah ... it's great if you don't rely on high-precision TA drawing.
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-15 11:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
hahaa 发表于 2013-5-15 09:54 AM
ES

This chart shows there may not be much meat in shorting ES when it hits the channel upper bound.
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-15 11:22 AM | 显示全部楼层
Forgot to say I've swapped NQ with ES. I bet AAPL will be soft for a while.
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发表于 2013-5-15 11:38 AM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-5-15 11:20 AM
This chart shows there may not be much meat in shorting ES when it hits the channel upper bound.

是啊,现在不好烧,就算是等第二腿也不能烧,谁知道会不会像2月份那样的蜈蚣腿。疯牛何时止?
这样顶着上轨爬,需要再有一根压力线才可以让疯牛停下来,晚上再看看能疯到哪。
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