Forex/Futures ST for Week 2/25-3/1

greenback

Well, bulls are doing great, both ES and NKD are posed to make new highs ...

As Cobra always says, this move guarantee another safe dip buying ...

greenback

USD is up again, but JPY is down with risk assets.

MFTHT

早上忙于实验室搬家，刚闲下来。
昨晚看到CT了，但是上次被晃掉，没有力气再碰它了。昨晚睡觉前设了3.41的NG买单，止损3.90， 现在看这一单还好。实在是不服气追高被晃掉，就算是等回调在买入的演习吧。

练习了很长时间的期货，做的越多，发现问题越多，不像以前傻傻的只知道看ES。

greenback

GBP got rejected by y's high ... so the short entry is still not dead. But I would only short it when it breaks down i.e. below the low this weak, because there is 50% chance of reversal when the low/high is revisited.

MFTHT

多数期货期货之间都是有关联的, 尤其是美元指数，牵一发而动全身。NG好像是其中的另类，不太随DX变化。绿大， Max老大，你们还发现有什么其他的另类吗？

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2013-2-28 03:52 PM
USD is up again, but JPY is down with risk assets.

原来不太关注DX的涨跌，这次正好观察看其他期货与DX的互动。我还是觉得DX在有意义的回调之前，会先摸一下83。

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2013-2-28 10:57 AM
早上忙于实验室搬家，刚闲下来。
昨晚看到CT了，但是上次被晃掉，没有力气再碰它了。昨晚睡觉前设了3.41的 ...

That's the problem ... we have to be willing to be stopped out when trying to catch a trend. Better TA will help us reduce the stop loss times, but it cannot be ruled out.

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2013-2-28 11:06 AM
多数期货期货之间都是有关联的, 尤其是美元指数，牵一发而动全身。NG好像是其中的另类，不太随DX变化。绿 ...

How about RB? The unique thing about NG is that it's not available on the international market. RB depends a lot on inventory. Other raw commodities with one single international market clearly depends on USD.

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2013-2-28 04:24 PM
How about RB? The unique thing about NG is that it's not available on the international market. RB ...

MFTHT

"The unique thing about NG is that it's not available on the international market. "
打破脑袋想不通的事老大一语道破。

原来一直以为RB的表现与CL, HO相关。以后会格外注意RB。

greenback

Not sure this is just a dip or traders start to worry about sequester???

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2013-2-28 04:56 PM
Not sure this is just a dip or traders start to worry about sequester???

报告绿大，RB和CL表现近期不同，但近十年表现相似。

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2013-2-28 12:14 PM
报告绿大，RB和CL表现近期不同，但近十年表现相似。

Interesting ... I guess in the longer term their supplies are the same, or refiners are able to rig the market recently.

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2013-2-28 05:22 PM
Interesting ... I guess in the longer term their supplies are the same, or refiners are able to ri ...

近期表现确实不同，俺还迷糊着呢。

greenback

There are too many talks of DOW making ALL TIME HIGH ... guess it won't break it soon ... but consolidation here is a good way to trap more bears before going higher.

greenback

I sort of understand why sequester is not a big deal because

1) The cut is incremental by day, week, and month;
2) It can be reversed anytime a deal is made in the congress.

That O8 and the two parties' leaders will meet again tomorrow after the failure of two test votes in the senate shows that the two parties are again playing all the political dramas in front of their respective constitutions. Basically they need to appear they have tried very very hard and fought to the very last minute, or even after the deadline for their interests.

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2013-2-28 05:38 PM
I sort of understand why sequester is not a big deal because

1) The cut is incremental by day, w ...

我彻底晕乎了，但有两点：1.周线看多DX到83再说；2.ES过前高稳住后我再做牛。现在我就闪在一旁观战。

MFTHT

牛熊难辨， 明天上午我跟还是不跟？

min_max

欧元这个底不是很SOLID。美元因此有可能继续上涨走势，直到本季奇货到期。这也
是股市不祥之兆。

MFTHT

min_max 发表于 2013-3-1 12:18 AM
欧元这个底不是很SOLID。美元因此有可能继续上涨走势，直到本季奇货到期。这也
是股市不祥之兆。

我是十分迷惑。牛熊各有各的道理，我昨晚略偏熊，现在略偏牛了。但是，明早很可能有我的2小时卖空信号，很可能会错，到时再看吧。